Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Villacañas		Deportivo Toledo

	1	X	2
	3.55	2.72	2.18
	3.68	2.66	2.22
	3.71	2.68	2.25
	3.63	2.65	2.23
	3.66	2.66	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.64)	2.67 ↓ (2.68)	2.22 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villacañas
24.9%

Draw
34%

Deportivo Toledo
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

33.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

33%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villacañas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villacañas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Villacañas - Deportivo Toledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, Molina L. ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, Friaza J. L. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villacañas won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Toledo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Toledo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Villacañas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Villacañas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Villacañas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
22.11.25	Villacañas - Huracán Balazote	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Guadalajara B - Villacañas	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Villacañas - Marchamalo	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Azuqueca - Villacañas	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tarancón - Villacañas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTTT
- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
30.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - Illescas	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Manchego - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - Villarrobledo	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Albacete B - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - La Solana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
25.05.25	Deportivo Toledo - Villacañas	1:2 ET
17.05.25	Villacañas - Deportivo Toledo	1:0
16.02.25	Deportivo Toledo - Villacañas	3:0
05.10.24	Villacañas - Deportivo Toledo	1:4
03.02.24	Villacañas - Deportivo Toledo	0:1
17.09.23	Deportivo Toledo - Villacañas	2:1
12.02.23	Deportivo Toledo - Villacañas	1:0

Villacañas - Deportivo Toledo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide