Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Puebla de la Calzada		Villafranca

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.35	2.98	2.82
	2.4	3.08	2.92
	2.41	3.06	2.9
	2.4	2.8	2.9
	2.37	2.96	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)	2.95 ↑ (2.8)	2.88 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla de la Calzada
37.9%

Draw
30.7%

Villafranca
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

31.5%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+1%)

Puebla de la Calzada - Villafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Puebla	5	2	2	1	8:4	4	8
15	Villafranca	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.03.26	Don Benito - Puebla de la Calzada	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Santa Amalia	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Azuaga - Puebla de la Calzada	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Jerez - Puebla de la Calzada	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Gévora	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLTW
- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.03.26	Villafranca - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Montehermoso - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Villafranca - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cabeza del Buey - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Villafranca - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.11.25	Villafranca - Puebla de la Calzada	1:2
19.01.25	Villafranca - Puebla de la Calzada	2:1

Puebla de la Calzada - Villafranca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide