Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Villanovense		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.8	2.3
	3.05	2.9	2.35
	3.12	2.83	2.52
	3.08	2.83	2.44
	3.06	2.9	2.44
	3.05	2.9	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	2.86 ↓ (3.13)	2.4 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
30%

Draw
32%

Estepona
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

29%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Villanovense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Villanovense - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Villanovense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estepona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villanovense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Villanovense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.10.24	UCAM Murcia - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Villanovense - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Don Benito - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Villanovense - Minera	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	San Fernando - Villanovense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTTTL
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.10.24	Estepona - Linense	4:0 ✺
13.10.24	Águilas - Estepona	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Estepona - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Cadiz CF B - Estepona	0:4 ✺
21.09.24	Estepona - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.04.23	Estepona - Villanovense	2:0
20.11.22	Villanovense - Estepona	2:1

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