Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Play Out - Final

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Villanovense		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.6	3.5
	2.42	2.7	3.15
	2.71	2.69	3.4
	2.47	2.65	3.27	Watch
	2.47	2.77	3.17
	2.39	2.65	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.37)	2.68 ↓ (2.75)	3.29 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
37.7%

Draw
34.4%

Real Madrid C
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

32.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

32.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Villanovense - Real Madrid C Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Carvajal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Villanovense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Madrid C is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villanovense might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.05.25	Villanovense - Granada B	4:0 ✺
27.04.25	Linares Deportivo - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Villanovense - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Villanovense - Linense	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Águilas - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WTWWW
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Real Madrid C - Illescas	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Conquense - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Real Madrid C - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Real Madrid C	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Real Madrid C - Tenerife B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLWW

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