Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	UCAM Murcia		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.25	5.25
	1.62	3.3	7.61
	1.63	3.18	6.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.86)	3.24 ↑ (2.83)	6.45 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
57.1%

Draw
28.5%

Juventud de Torremolinos
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

32.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

34.3%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

UCAM Murcia - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torremolinos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match UCAM Murcia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.01.25	Estepona - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.01.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.12.24	Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	UCAM Murcia - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTWW
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.01.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Don Benito - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Minera - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - San Fernando	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Almeria B - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.09.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - UCAM Murcia	0:0
11.02.23	Juventud de Torremolinos - UCAM Murcia	0:1
25.09.22	UCAM Murcia - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2

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