Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Villaralbo		Atlético Palencia

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.75	2.05
	3.45	2.62	2.28
	3.39	2.5	2.48
	3.41	2.51	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	2.6 ↑ (2.54)	2.31 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villaralbo
26.1%

Draw
34.8%

Atlético Palencia
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

35.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

36%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villaralbo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaralbo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Villaralbo - Atlético Palencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Villaralbo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Palencia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético Palencia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villaralbo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villaralbo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Palencia CF	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7
12	Villaralbo	5	1	2	2	9:7	2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Palencia - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GCE Villaralbo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.03.26	Becerril - Villaralbo	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Villaralbo - Arandina	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Bembibre - Villaralbo	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Villaralbo - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Villaralbo - Atlético Mansillés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLLW
- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.03.26	Atlético Palencia - Colegios Diocesanos	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Unionistas B - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Atlético Palencia - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Leonesa B - Atlético Palencia	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético Palencia - Mojados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.11.25	Atlético Palencia - Villaralbo	0:0
17.04.25	Atlético Palencia - Villaralbo	0:0
30.11.24	Villaralbo - Atlético Palencia	1:0
06.04.24	Atlético Palencia - Villaralbo	1:0
18.11.23	Villaralbo - Atlético Palencia	0:1

Villaralbo - Atlético Palencia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide