Match Info

Date: 15 April 2021, Thursday


	Villarreal		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7.5
	1.48	4.25	7.25
	1.5	4.15	7.75
	1.46	4.1	7
	1.49	4.31	7.86
	1.47	4	7.5
	1.51	4.35	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.47)	4.21 ↑ (4.19)	7.48 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
64.6%

Draw
22.7%

Dinamo Zagreb
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.7%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

13.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Villarreal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-25.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.9%	11%	22%

Villarreal - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 127 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 85 - 66.9%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 28 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 11%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 58.7% – 75.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. No spectators. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Villarreal was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (84%), has a chance of final (46%), has a chance of win league (19%).

Dinamo Zagreb was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (16%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Villarreal is absolute favorite.

In this match Villarreal is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
11.04.21	Villarreal - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.04.21	Granada - Villarreal	0:3 ✺
21.03.21	Villarreal - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Villarreal - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
11.04.21	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
03.04.21	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
08.04.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Villarreal	0:1

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