Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Variety 4
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Villarreal		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.71	3.85	5.43
	1.72	3.52	5.00	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5.5
	1.73	3.87	5.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.56)	3.76 ↓ (4.23)	5.29 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
56.5%

Draw
25.4%

Osasuna
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	8.6%	5.7%

Villarreal - Osasuna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Villarreal (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Osasuna (1.67) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Villarreal (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Villarreal (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Osasuna (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Junior (G) 26. Navarro P. 8. Foyth J. (C) 4. Marin R. 24. Pedraza A. 11. Akhomach I. 16. Partey T. 18. Gueye P. 20. Moleiro A. 19. Pepe N. 9. Mikautadze G.	1. Herrera S. (C) 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 3. Cruz J. 19. Rosier V. 7. Moncayola J. 6. Torro L. 23. Bretones A. 14. Garcia R. 17. Budimir A. 21. Munoz V.
Substitutes
3. Altimira A. 17. Buchanan T. 23. Cardona S. 14. Comesana S. 13. Conde D. (G) 15. Mourino S. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 10. Parejo D. 6. Solomon M. 25. Tenas A. (G) 12. Veiga R.	11. Barja K. 18. Becker S. 2. Benito I. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 5. Herrando J. 8. Munoz I. 29. Osambela A. 34. Ruiz R. C.
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Rosier V. 🟨,
39', Torro L. 🟨,
40', Rosier V. 🟨,
42', Navarro P. 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 1, Budimir A. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Akhomach I. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
46', Cruz J. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,
46', Garcia R. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
58', Partey T. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
58', Navarro P. ↓, Comesana S. ↑,
67', Moleiro A. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
67', Foyth J. ↓, Veiga R. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
77', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
77', Munoz V. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Oluwaseyi T. (A),
87', Comesana S. 🟨,
88', Boyomo F. ↓, Barja K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Osasuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Villarreal is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Osasuna: Gomez M. (Muscle Injury) Oroz A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:19. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Villarreal - Girona	5:0 ✺
15.08.25	Villarreal - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWW
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
14.09.25	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.08.25	Espanyol - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Osasuna - Valencia	1:0 ✺
19.08.25	Real Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
03.05.25	Villarreal - Osasuna	4:2
24.11.24	Osasuna - Villarreal	2:2
25.05.24	Osasuna - Villarreal	1:1
26.11.23	Villarreal - Osasuna	3:1
19.03.23	Osasuna - Villarreal	0:3
17.10.22	Villarreal - Osasuna	2:0
05.03.22	Osasuna - Villarreal	1:0

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