Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	Optus Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	17:00	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Cyprus	22:00	PrimeTel
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	Viaplay


	Granada		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.35
	2.9	3.6	2.4	Watch
	3.1	3.65	2.29
	3.05	3.57	2.38
	3.1	3.5	2.2
	2.97	3.52	2.36	Watch
	3.05	3.6	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.24)	3.56 ↓ (3.68)	2.32 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Granada
31.8%

Draw
26.9%

Villarreal
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25.9%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.6%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	35%	31.7%

Granada - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 20 - 33.3%). Villarreal will win (votes: 19 - 31.7%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22.9% – 47.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ferreira A. (G) 12. Sanchez R. 14. Miquel I. 28. Torrent R. 15. Neva C. 26. Zaragoza B. 20. Ruiz S. 24. Villar G. 33. Fernandez A. 10. Puertas A. (C) 11. Uzuni M.	13. Jorgensen F. (G) 26. Altimira A. 3. Albiol R. (C) 2. Gabbia M. 18. Moreno A. 27. Akhomach I. 6. Capoue E. 10. Parejo D. 16. Baena A. 7. Moreno G. 11. Sorloth A.
Substitutes
32. Bosch M. 9. Callejon J. 16. Diaz V. 19. Diedhiou F. 31. Lopez A. (G) 3. Manafa W. 21. Melendo O. 22. Perea A. 18. Petrovic N. 17. Weissman S.	9. Brereton Diaz B. 4. Comesana S. 5. Cuenca J. 17. Kiko 23. Mandi A. 15. Morales J. L. 1. Reina P. (G) 37. Romero C. 20. Terrats R. 14. Trigueros M.
Coaches
Lopez P.	Rojo Martin J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 0.

Granada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villarreal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Villarreal have a series of home games.

Villarreal will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Granada: Boye L. (Red Card) Gumbau G. (Yellow Cards) Rubio M. (Ankle Injury) Vallejo J. (Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Foyth J. (Muscle Injury) Pedraza A. (Injury) Pino Y. (Muscle Injury) Suarez D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Granada: Fernandez R. (Hand Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Coquelin F. (Knee Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Granada won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
20.10.23	Osasuna - Granada	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Granada - Barcelona	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Almería - Granada	3:3 ✺
28.09.23	Granada - Betis	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Las Palmas - Granada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTTTL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
22.10.23	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Villarreal - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Villarreal - Rennes	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.09.23	Getafe - Villarreal	0:0 ✺
27.09.23	Villarreal - Girona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
19.02.22	Granada - Villarreal	1:4
16.08.21	Villarreal - Granada	0:0
03.04.21	Granada - Villarreal	0:3
20.01.21	Villarreal - Granada	2:2
19.06.20	Granada - Villarreal	0:1
17.08.19	Villarreal - Granada	4:4
28.01.17	Villarreal - Granada	2:0

Upcoming Matches