Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anfield (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Q League Asia, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 3
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	16:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 2
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	21:00	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, WOW
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	22:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport Max
Japan	04:00	Wowow Live
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 2
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Liverpool		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.20	6.00
	1.55	4.33	5.25
	1.55	4.25	5.80
	1.56	4.60	6.00
	1.52	4.78	6.1	Watch
	1.54	4.55	5.80
	1.54	4.23	6.37
	1.55	4.40	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	4.42 ↓ (4.52)	5.82 ↓ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
61.9%

Draw
21.7%

Villarreal
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.6%	0%	3.4%

Liverpool - Villarreal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Liverpool (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Villarreal (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 93%) ⭐ Best Value.

1X2 - Liverpool (1.57) (votes: 86%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - Liverpool & Yes (3.00) (votes: 81%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (57 of 59 users predict this - 96.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.99% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Villarreal (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 33. Araujo R. 5. Jacquet J. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 21. Tsimikas K. 10. Mac Allister A. 42. Nyoni T. 73. Ngumoha R. 38. Gravenberch R. 18. Gakpo C. 67. Koumas L.	25. Gulacsi P. (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 24. Saliba N. 18. Gueye P. 17. Buchanan T. 14. Comesana S. (C) 10. Moleiro A. 9. Mikautadze G.
Substitutes
29. Barcola B. 44. Chambers L. 76. Danns J. 2. Gomez J. 9. Isak A. 6. Kerkez M. 94. Laffey M. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 53. McConnell J. 7. Wirtz F. 28. Woodman F. (G)	11. Akhomach I. 2. Costa L. 5. Diatta A. 27. El Jmili N. 8. Foyth J. 3. Freeman A. 28. Gaitan J. 1. Luiz Junior (G) 16. Macia C. 7. Moreno G. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 22. Perez A.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Mikautadze G. ⚽,
27', Moleiro A. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, Cardona S. ⚽, Saliba N. (A),
36', 1 - 2, Mac Allister A. ⚽, Tsimikas K. (A),
41', Mourino S. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 2, Araujo R. ⚽, Ngumoha R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Araujo R. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
46', Saliba N. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
54', Moleiro A. ↓, Foyth J. ↑,
60', Buchanan T. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
60', Mikautadze G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Mac Allister A. ⚽, Ngumoha R. (A),
66', Koumas L. ↓, Isak A. ↑,
68', 4 - 2, Wirtz F. ⚽, Gakpo C. (A),
74', Ngumoha R. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
74', Jacquet J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
78', Comesana S. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
81', Nyoni T. ↓, McConnell J. ↑,
87', 4 - 3, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, Perez A. (A),

Preview

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Liverpool carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Liverpool: Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Chiesa F. (Off the roster) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Endo W. (Off the roster) Frimpong J. (Muscle Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Szoboszlai D. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Villarreal: Pepe N. (Eye injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Liverpool in today's match, at odds of 1.54.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Liverpool has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 2:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liverpool against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals (averaging 2.5:0 per game).

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	12:7	5	9
19	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	8:8	0	3

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Liverpool: 3.78% Villarreal: 0.85%

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.21%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
17.10.26	Brentford - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	LASK Linz - Liverpool	3:6 ✺
English Premier League
11.10.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.26	Villarreal - Elche	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Villarreal - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Real Madrid - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Villarreal - Levante	3:1 ✺
17.09.26	Málaga - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.05.22	Villarreal - Liverpool	2:3
27.04.22	Liverpool - Villarreal	2:0
UEFA Europa League
05.05.16	Liverpool - Villarreal	3:0
28.04.16	Villarreal - Liverpool	1:0

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