Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 1

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)


	Villarreal B		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.7	2.9	2.4
	2.38	3.1	2.88
	2.41	3.32	2.87
	2.66	3.10	2.66	Watch
	2.62	2.88	2.5
	2.37	3.08	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.14)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)	2.74 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
36.8%

Draw
29.8%

Alcorcón
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal B's form might have worsened.

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Villarreal B - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcorcón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Alcorcón (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcorcón (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez R. (C) 2. Budesca D. 23. Valou J. 6. Spatz L. M. 21. Rodriguez I. 8. Diatta A. 22. Viveros F. 10. Quintero L. 28. Macia C. 19. Barry M. 30. Garcia A.	1. Ayesa G. (C) 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 6. Perez I. 4. Rojas J. 3. Nieto S. 21. Llorente R. 18. Aguado T. 19. Pola J. 10. Ballesteros Y. 9. Carmona M. 7. Aparicio E.
Substitutes
27. Barattucci N. 31. Dahmouni M. 5. Gil F. 25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 11. Lopez H. 7. Moreno V. 3. Ortiz E. 29. Ruiz A. 15. Tidiane Thiam C.	22. Blanco R. 17. Lanchi 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 23. Navarro D. 5. Rai 15. Rodriguez S. 14. Vacas L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Perez I. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
45+3', Spatz L. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Garcia A. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
68', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
68', Aparicio E. ↓, Vacas L. ↑,
69', Llorente R. 🟨,
76', Barry M. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
82', Carmona M. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
82', Rojas J. ↓, Navarro D. ↑,
82', Aguado T. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 0, Spatz L. M. ⚽,

Preview

Villarreal B has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcorcón's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villarreal B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Villarreal B - Valencia B	1:1 ✺
13.08.25	Villarreal B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
06.08.25	Teruel - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Villarreal B	5:0 ✺
30.07.25	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLLL
- AD Alcorcón
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
13.08.25	Talavera de la Reina - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alcorcón - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Leganés - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.25	Alcorcón - Villarreal B	2:1
10.11.24	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	4:0
Spanish LaLiga2
15.04.24	Alcorcón - Villarreal B	1:0
30.09.23	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	2:2
18.02.12	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	0:3

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