Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Villarreal B		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.33
	1.75	3.45	4.35
	1.8	3.43	4.58
	2.19	3.32	3.15	Watch
	1.74	3.3	4.53
	2.1	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.1)	3.33 ↑ (3.19)	3.97 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
49.1%

Draw
27.7%

Atlético Sanluqueño
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villarreal B's performance.

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Villarreal B - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal B (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez R. (G) 2. Budesca D. 23. Valou J. 4. Sierra I. 3. Ortiz E. 7. Moreno V. (C) 28. Macia C. 8. Diatta A. 11. Lopez H. 22. Viveros F. 9. Rubio A.	1. Kudakovskiy P. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 5. Trapero 4. Castellano A. (C) 3. Cabrera J. 10. Feria J. 16. Tounkara N. 21. Satoca D. 22. Carneil H. 17. Rodri 26. Morales L.
Substitutes
19. Barry M. 20. Curro 14. Fores A. 26. Gaitan J. 30. Garcia A. 5. Gil F. 35. Moreira Y. (G) 16. Pascual P. 10. Quintero L. 6. Spatz L. M. 15. Tidiane Thiam C.	20. Arruabarrena J. 30. Barea P. 18. Diallo B. 13. Dominguez R. (G) 8. Gallastegui J. 19. Juarez A. 7. Kikin 11. Lorenzo O. 28. Moreno F. 12. Rodriguez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Rubio A. ⚽,
23', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
32', Satoca D. 🟥,
33', 2 - 0, Diatta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Villarreal B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sanluqueño has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Villarreal B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villarreal B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.11.25	Cartagena - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Villarreal B - Antequera	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hércules - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Villarreal B - Betis B	4:1 ✺
03.10.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Madrid B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLWL
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.11.25	CE Europa - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Betis B - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Alcorcón - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.04.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Villarreal B	1:1
13.10.24	Villarreal B - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:1
28.05.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - Villarreal B	2:1
23.01.22	Villarreal B - Atlético Sanluqueño	4:1

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