The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartagena 55.7%
Draw 26.3%
Villarreal B 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
25.3%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
23.9%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Cartagena - Villarreal B Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal B (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 2. Jurado M. 5. Baz I. 4. Serrano R. 22. Martinez N. (C) 20. Gomez D. 6. Fidalgo A. 10. Larrea P. 11. Redondo L. 17. Sanchez K. 19. Chiki
1. Gomez R. (G) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 23. Valou J. 3. Ortiz E. 7. Moreno V. (C) 8. Diatta A. 22. Viveros F. 28. Macia C. 11. Lopez H. 9. Rubio A.
Substitutes
14. Alcaniz E. 7. Calderon C. 21. Chuca 13. Garcia L. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 16. Martin A. 23. Nacho 9. Ortuno A. 18. Perejon D. 30. Reyes J. (G) 15. Velez F.
19. Barry M. 14. Fores A. 26. Gaitan J. 30. Garcia A. 5. Gil F. 35. Moreira Y. 16. Pascual P. 10. Quintero L. 21. Rodriguez I. 15. Tidiane Thiam C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Budesca D. 🟨,
33', Viveros F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Gomez D. 🟨,
67', Viveros F. ↓, Gaitan J. ↑,
69', Redondo L. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
70', Sanchez K. ↓, Nacho ↑,
71', Lopez H. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Moreno V. ⚽,
76', Gomez D. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
76', Jurado M. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
81', Baz I. ↓, Chuca ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Rubio A. ⚽,
87', Rubio A. ↓, Pascual P. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 3.
Cartagena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Villarreal B has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Villarreal B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cartagena is a strong favorite.
We predict that Cartagena will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
Colombia
Spain
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Martinez I. (G) 
Valou J. 
Diatta A. 
Viveros F. 
Garcia L. (G) 
Reyes J. (G) 
Barry M. 
Rodriguez I. 
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