Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 30

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)


	Villarreal B		Elche

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.5	2.95	2.1
	3.6	3.1	2.15
	3.94	3.14	2.21
	3.94	3.14	2.19
	3.69	3.2	2.14	Watch
	3.6	3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (2.63)	3.09 ↑ (2.9)	2.15 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
25.4%

Draw
30.6%

Elche
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

31.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

32.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal B's form might have worsened.

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Villarreal B - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 2. Altimira A. 29. Espigares A. 12. Lekovic S. 3. Tasende D. 7. Collado D. 14. Gelardo A. 8. Garcia C. (C) 21. Rodri 11. Pascual J. 9. Fores A.	13. Dituro M. (G) 17. Josan 5. Donald J. 6. Bigas P. (C) 23. Clerc C. 11. Tete Morente 8. Puigmal A. 21. Castro N. 30. Mendoza R. 19. El Ghezouani M. 22. Mercau N.
Substitutes
24. Ferrari A. 22. Geralnik T. 16. Lanchi 13. Morro M. A. (G) 33. Navarro P. 17. Novoa Ramos H. 10. Ontiveros J. 5. Rando A. 27. Requena D. 18. Romero C. 15. Sanchez M.	9. Bermejo 14. Febas A. 18. Garces B. 4. Gonzalez D. 35. Lopez D. 3. Mendez J. 10. Nieto M. 37. Nunez R. 12. Salinas J. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Alvarez M.	Beccacece S.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 2.

Recent matches Villarreal B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elche is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Elche will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.24	Eldense - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Villarreal B - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	FC Andorra - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Villarreal B - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Mirandés - Villarreal B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTTWL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
04.03.24	Elche - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cartagena - Elche	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Elche - Eibar	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Amorebieta - Elche	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Elche - Burgos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.08.23	Elche - Villarreal B	1:0
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Elche - Villarreal B	1:3
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
23.06.18	Villarreal B - Elche	2:1
16.06.18	Elche - Villarreal B	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.04.18	Elche - Villarreal B	0:0
05.11.17	Villarreal B - Elche	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
07.04.12	Villarreal B - Elche	N/A

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