Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Gonzalez Diaz M. (Esp)


	Amorebieta		Elche

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3	2
	3.75	3	2.1	Watch
	4.3	3.1	2.08
	4.38	3.16	2.07
	4.23	3	2.08	Watch
	3.9	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.68)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	2.07 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
23.2%

Draw
31%

Elche
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

30.9%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

30.1%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	21.7%	65.2%

Amorebieta - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Elche will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. 28. Garreta F. 7. Dorrio J. 21. Carbonell A. 20. Sibo K. 11. Seguin I. (C) 23. Unzueta I. 17. Rodriguez R.	13. Dituro M. (G) 2. Mario Gaspar 6. Bigas P. (C) 23. Clerc C. 24. Carreira S. 5. Donald J. 14. Febas A. 30. Mendoza R. 22. Mercau N. 10. Nieto M. 21. Castro N.
Substitutes
10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 24. Gaya J. 9. Jauregi E. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 2. Mier J. 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 6. Yriarte J.	9. Bermejo 32. Boayar A. 19. El Ghezouani M. 18. Garces B. 4. Gonzalez D. 17. Josan 35. Lopez-Guerrero D. 3. Mendez J. 12. Salinas J. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Jandro	Beccacece S.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Amorebieta has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Elche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Elche will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
04.02.24	Amorebieta - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Cartagena - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Amorebieta - Eldense	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Amorebieta - Celta de Vigo	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLTL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.24	Elche - Burgos	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	FC Andorra - Elche	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Elche - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Tenerife - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Elche - Girona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.23	Elche - Amorebieta	2:0

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