The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartagena 27.5%
Draw 32.4%
Elche 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
29.4%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
29.1%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartagena's performance.
Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
13.3%
73.3%
Cartagena - Elche Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Elche will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 50.9% – 95.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 4. Alcala P. 24. Sipcic N. 22. Olivas K. 19. Aguirregabiria M. 8. Munoz L. 18. Musto D. 6. Mini 23. Teguia C. 20. Izquierdo J. 7. Valles G.
1. San Roman M. (G) 2. Mario Gaspar 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 16. Alex Martin 10. Mercau N. 31. Hernandez G. 20. Salvador C. 11. Rashani E. 7. Plano O. 18. Kaba S.
Substitutes
17. Andy 10. Escriche D. 34. Gonzalez H. 2. Moreno J. 35. Nono (G) 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 3. Rios Reina J. 37. Roman P. 12. Vukcevic A.
9. Alvarez A. 26. Barzic M. 6. Bigas P. 13. Dituro M. (G) 19. El Ghezouani M. 14. Febas A. 8. Guti R. 30. Mendoza R. 15. Nunez A. 36. Nunez R. 12. Salinas J. 24. Santiago Y.
Coaches
Jandro
Sarabia E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Olivas K. 🟨,
22', Diaby B. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez G. ↓, Febas A. ↑,
56', Plano O. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
56', Alex Martin ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
65', Izquierdo J. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
75', Teguia C. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
75', Mini ↓, Andy ↑,
81', Salvador C. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
82', Valles G. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 3.
Cartagena is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Elche is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Elche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Elche will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Elche: Josan
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Elche: Clerc C.
(Hip Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1:0.3).
Mexico
North-central-america
Spain
Venezuela
World
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Cunat P. (G) 
Sipcic N. 
Musto D. 
Valles G. 
Affengruber D. 
Rashani E. 
Kaba S. 
Reyes J. (G) 
Roman P. 
Barzic M. 
El Ghezouani M. 
Nunez R. 
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