Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	A Punt, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Villarreal B		Hércules

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.78	3.4	3.75
	1.85	3.3	3.9
	1.88	3.27	4.12
	2.02	2.88	4.32	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.84	3.24	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)	4.02 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
48.9%

Draw
28.4%

Hércules
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.5%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Villarreal B - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez R. (C) 2. Budesca D. 6. Spatz L. M. 4. Sierra I. 3. Ortiz E. 26. Gaitan J. 8. Diatta A. 28. Macia C. 33. Bonafe C. 30. Garcia A. 11. Lopez H.	1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 2. Vazquez S. 4. Rentero J. 5. Monsalve N. 21. Retu 14. Ben Hamed N. 23. Calavera J. 37. Puch Herrantz M. 7. Escudero A. 11. Ropero U. 10. Espinosa N. (C)
Substitutes
24. Arguigue Safsati A. 36. El Jmili N. 10. Eto'o E. 14. Fores A. 25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 16. Pascual P. 21. Rodriguez I. 15. Tidiane Thiam C. 23. Valou J.	3. Alvarez A. 22. Aranda A. 13. Blazic A. (G) 17. De Leon J. 16. Fede 28. Galvan J. 35. Lidon A. (G) 8. Mangada C. 26. Sergio G. F. 19. Sol F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Vazquez S. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Lopez H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
67', Diatta A. ↓, Tidiane Thiam C. ↑,
68', Lopez H. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
69', 🟨,
77', Garcia A. ↓, El Jmili N. ↑,
78', Puch Herrantz M. ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
86', Retu ↓, Sergio G. F. ↑,
86', Espinosa N. ↓, Fede ↑,
86', Ben Hamed N. ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 2.

Villarreal B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hércules has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villarreal B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Villarreal B is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Villarreal B will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal B won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villarreal B	6	4	1	1	12:6	6	13
7	Hercules	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Hércules - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 21.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.04.26	Villarreal B - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Alcorcón - Villarreal B	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Villarreal B - Algeciras	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Marbella - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Villarreal B - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWWT
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.04.26	Hércules - Teruel	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sabadell - Hércules	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Hércules - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Alcorcón - Hércules	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Hércules - Marbella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.10.25	Hércules - Villarreal B	2:1
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:3
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.05.25	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:1
17.11.24	Hércules - Villarreal B	0:2
Club Friendly
26.07.24	Villarreal B - Hércules	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.03.21	Villarreal B - Hércules	2:1
06.12.20	Hércules - Villarreal B	0:0

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