Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Villarreal C		Patacona

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	6.25
	1.27	5.2	8.4
	1.23	5.07	9.16
	1.28	5.16	8.93
	1.34	4.55	7.55
	1.27	5.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)	4.95 ↑ (4.58)	8.12 ↑ (6.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal C
70.4%

Draw
18.4%

Patacona
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.6%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

18.6%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Patacona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Villarreal C - Patacona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Villarreal C is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Patacona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Patacona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Villarreal C is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal C won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal C won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
27.04.25	La Nucía - Villarreal C	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Villarreal C - Rayo Ibense	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Soneja - Villarreal C	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Villarreal C - Castellon B	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Torrellano - Villarreal C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWTT
- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
26.04.25	Patacona - Atzeneta	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Español de San Vicente - Patacona	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Patacona - Castellonense	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Vall de Uxó - Patacona	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Patacona - Utiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.12.24	Patacona - Villarreal C	3:2
21.04.24	Patacona - Villarreal C	1:1
02.12.23	Villarreal C - Patacona	2:2
12.02.23	Villarreal C - Patacona	1:0
08.10.22	Patacona - Villarreal C	1:1

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