Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 30

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Patacona		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.88
	3.7	3.2	1.9
	3.76	3.47	1.87
	3.65	3.44	1.98
	3.7	3.25	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (4.01)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	1.91 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patacona
24.9%

Draw
27.4%

Castellonense
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

26.8%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

25.7%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patacona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Patacona - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Patacona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellonense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Castellonense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patacona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Patacona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.04.25	Vall de Uxó - Patacona	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Patacona - Utiel	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Patacona - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Rayo Ibense - Patacona	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Patacona - Soneja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LTTWL
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.04.25	Castellonense - La Nucía	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Rayo Ibense - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Castellonense - Soneja	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Castellon B - Castellonense	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Castellonense - Torrellano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
30.11.24	Castellonense - Patacona	1:1
28.04.24	Castellonense - Patacona	2:3
17.12.23	Patacona - Castellonense	1:3

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