The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Châteauroux 45.5%
Draw 36.2%
Caen 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
28.4%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
27.9%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Châteauroux's performance.
Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-17.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+25.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Châteauroux - Caen Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Lavallee L. (G) 12. Koembo J. 4. Diarra D. (C) 17. Magassa B. 24. Goncalves A. 20. Bouaoune I. 22. Trinker T. 8. Dembele S. 5. Tamba M'Pinda R. 29. Zakouani H. 19. Piquionne L.
1. Mandrea A. (G) 17. Labonne R. 27. Debohi D. 2. Vinicius Gomes 26. Etuin M. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 22. Hafid M. 19. Botella I. 14. Rajot L. 25. Bagbema Z. 12. Mazie O.
Substitutes
7. Ahmed A. 21. El Hriti A. 10. Freitas R. 11. Konate A. 25. Noc M. 14. Verdier Y.
3. Bolumbu D. 5. Dali Amar B. 11. Gnanduillet A. 8. Noireau-Dauriat S. 21. Tome G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Vinicius Gomes ⚽, Mazie O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tamba M'Pinda R. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Piquionne L. ⚽,
62', Piquionne L. ↓, Konate A. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Konate A. ⚽, Zakouani H. (A),
69', Bagbema Z. ↓, Dali Amar B. ↑,
70', Hafid M. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
73', Ahmed A. 🟨,
80', Trinker T. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
80', Zakouani H. ↓, Noc M. ↑,
84', Goncalves A. ↓, El Hriti A. ↑,
85', Debohi D. 🟨,
86', Labonne R. ↓, Noireau-Dauriat S. ↑,
90+7', Noc M. 🟨,
90+8', Botella I. (Pen),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Caen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Châteauroux - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 28.14%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
World
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Lavallee L. (G) 
Bouaoune I. 
Zakouani H. 
Labonne R. 
Debohi D. 
Vinicius Gomes 
Hafid M. 
Noireau-Dauriat S. 
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