Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	SPAL		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.85	2.95
	2.6	2.7	3.1
	2.57	2.84	3.23
	2.53	2.84	3.15	Watch
	2.38	2.88	2.9
	2.37	2.93	2.99	Watch
	2.6	2.7	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.5)	2.82 ↓ (3)	3.06 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
37.2%

Draw
32.7%

Virtus Entella
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

30.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

SPAL - Virtus Entella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 3. Bruscagin M. 23. Arena M. 16. Sottini E. 19. Mignanelli D. 20. Zammarini R. 10. Radrezza I. 5. Awua T. 33. D'Orazio L. 7. Antenucci M. 11. Rao E.	99. Siaulys O. (G) 15. Marconi I. 6. Tiritiello A. 23. Parodi L. (C) 70. Bariti D. 24. Franzoni A. 21. Lipani J. 14. Corbari A. 26. Di Mario S. 9. Castelli D. 77. Guiu B.
Substitutes
21. Bachini M. 26. Bassoli A. 77. Bidaoui S. 80. Buchel M. 30. Camelio U. 12. Galeotti C. (G) 90. Kane L. 9. Karlsson O. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 29. Nador S. 18. Ntenda J. 13. Polito V.	10. Casarotto M. 40. Costa G. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 47. Di Noia G. 87. Ghio U. 16. Manzi C. 43. Ndrecka A. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 8. Siatounis A. 7. Tomaselli G. 32. Zappella D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Tiritiello A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Radrezza I. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
52', Awua T. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
53', Bruscagin M. ↓, Ntenda J. ↑,
59', D'Orazio L. ↓, Bidaoui S. ↑,
69', Antenucci M. 🟨,
74', 0 - 2, Franzoni A. ⚽,
76', Corbari A. ↓, Di Noia G. ↑,
76', Rao E. ↓, Polito V. ↑,
77', Bariti D. ↓, Manzi C. ↑,
83', Sottini E. 🟥,
87', Di Mario S. ↓, Ndrecka A. ↑,
87', Parodi L. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
87', Guiu B. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
26.09.24	Milan Futuro - SPAL	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	SPAL - Carpi	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Sestri Levante - SPAL	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	SPAL - Lucchese	2:3 ✺
30.08.24	Perugia - SPAL	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
26.09.24	Virtus Entella - Pescara	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Pianese - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Virtus Entella - Carpi	1:1 ✺
09.09.24	Virtus Entella - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Rimini - Virtus Entella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.04.24	Virtus Entella - SPAL	1:2
09.12.23	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:0
Italian Serie B
12.03.21	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:0
30.11.20	Virtus Entella - SPAL	0:1
11.02.17	Virtus Entella - SPAL	0:3
17.09.16	SPAL - Virtus Entella	2:2

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