Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Paolo II (Francavilla Fontana)


	Virtus Francavilla		Acerrana

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.85	5.78
	1.58	3.74	5.16	Watch
	1.43	3.8	7.17
	1.55	3.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)	5.98 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
60.5%

Draw
24.3%

Acerrana
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

18.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Acerrana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Francavilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Acerrana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Francavilla - Acerrana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Bonavolonta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Virtus Francavilla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Acerrana has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Virtus Francavilla is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
02.11.25	Nola - Virtus Francavilla	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Virtus Francavilla - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Gravina - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Fasano	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Paganese - Virtus Francavilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT
- Acerrana 1926
Italian Serie D - Group H
02.11.25	Nardo - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Acerrana - Afragolese	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	Nola - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Acerrana - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Gravina - Acerrana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Virtus Francavilla - Acerrana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide