Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 36

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Audace Cerignola		Virtus Francavilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.84	3.48	4.59
	1.79	3.48	4.6
	1.73	3.3	4.33
	1.77	3.43	4.43
	1.77	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.35)	3.39 ↑ (2.92)	4.36 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
51.8%

Draw
27.1%

Virtus Francavilla
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

31.7%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

31.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Audace Cerignola's performance.

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Francavilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Audace Cerignola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Barosi D. (G) 23. Gonnelli L. 15. Ligi A. 6. Visentin S. 21. Tentardini A. 29. Tascone M. 20. Miguel Angel 13. Bianchini G. 7. Coccia G. 99. Vuthaj D. 17. D'Andrea F.	89. Branduani P. (G) 15. Dutu E. 5. Monteagudo J. C. 6. Gasbarro A. 17. Carella F. 19. Izzillo N. 27. Laaribi M. 30. Macca F. 7. Biondi K. 18. Contini G. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
4. Allegrini G. 8. Bianco R. 80. Carnevale A. 12. Fares G. (G) 77. Ghisolfi M. 1. Krapikas T. (G) 11. Leonetti V. 10. Lombardi L. 9. Malcore G. 34. Rizzo A. 3. Russo L.	40. Accardi A. 70. Cardoselli C. 1. Carretta F. (G) 3. De Marino D. 99. Garofalo V. 50. Ingrosso G. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 32. Magnati F. 14. Molnar I. 11. Neglia S. 23. Nicoli S. 21. Risolo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Coccia G. ⚽,
33', Monteagudo J. C. 🟨,
44', Dutu E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Macca F. ↓, Garofalo V. ↑,
46', Carella F. ↓, Di Marco T. ↑,
46', Dutu E. ↓, Molnar I. ↑,
49', Molnar I. 🟨,
49', Tentardini A. ↓, Russo L. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, D'Andrea F. ⚽,
57', D'Andrea F. 🟨,
60', Laaribi M. ↓, Risolo A. ↑,
60', Risolo A. 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Cerignola A. ⚽,
69', Garofalo V. 🟨,
72', Miguel Angel ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
72', Ligi A. ↓, Rizzo A. ↑,
74', Izzillo N. ↓, Neglia S. ↑,
79', Vuthaj D. ↓, Malcore G. ↑,
79', D'Andrea F. ↓, Leonetti V. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Audace Cerignola is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
07.04.24	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Audace Cerignola - Turris	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Audace Cerignola - Potenza	2:1 ✺
15.03.24	Catania - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTWLL
- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
07.04.24	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Città di Brindisi - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Virtus Francavilla - Nuova Monterosi	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Casertana - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Virtus Francavilla - Avellino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.12.23	Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	3:3
12.03.23	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla	1:0
06.11.22	Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola	1:1

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