The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Francavilla 30.1%
Draw 30.4%
Catania 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
32.7%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
31.9%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Francavilla's form might have worsened.
Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Francavilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Virtus Francavilla - Catania Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Catania will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
89. Branduani P. (G) 15. Dutu E. 5. Monteagudo J. C. (C) 6. Gasbarro A. 17. Carella F. 19. Izzillo N. 27. Laaribi M. 30. Macca F. 7. Biondi K. 18. Contini G. 9. Artistico G.
95. Albertoni M. (G) 27. Castellini A. 46. Monaco S. 28. Celli A. 5. Rapisarda F. (C) 23. Welbeck N. 16. Quaini A. 33. Zammarini R. 77. Marsura D. 9. Costantino R. 10. Di Carmine S.
Substitutes
40. Accardi A. 70. Cardoselli C. 1. Carretta F. (G) 3. De Marino D. 99. Garofalo V. 4. Gavazzi F. 50. Ingrosso G. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 31. Magnati F. 14. Molnar I. 11. Neglia S. 23. Nicoli S. 21. Risolo A.
13. Bouah D. 31. Chiarella M. 32. Chirico C. 90. Cianci P. 35. Donato E. (G) 3. Haveri K. 14. Kontek I. 6. Ndoj E. 19. Peralta D. 34. Toscano A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Costantino R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Costantino R. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽,
59', Welbeck N. ↓, Chirico C. ↑,
59', Rapisarda F. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
66', Contini G. ↓, Neglia S. ↑,
66', Macca F. ↓, Garofalo V. ↑,
66', Dutu E. 🟨,
69', Artistico G. 🟨,
70', Cianci P. 🟨,
73', Quaini A. 🟨,
75', Monaco S. ↓, Kontek I. ↑,
75', Carella F. ↓, Risolo A. ↑,
75', Izzillo N. ↓, Nicoli S. ↑,
80', Branduani P. 🟨,
84', Gasbarro A. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 0.
Virtus Francavilla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Catania is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Virtus Francavilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
Italy
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Branduani P. (G) 
Dutu E. 
Monteagudo J. C. (C) 
Laaribi M. 
Welbeck N. 
Molnar I. 
Haveri K. 
