Match Info

Date: 18 March 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Virtus Matino		Gravina

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2
	3.6	3	1.97
	3.53	2.98	2.05
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.62	3.36	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.91)	3.07 ↑ (2.93)	1.98 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Matino
25.6%

Draw
29.2%

Gravina
45.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.2%

29.6%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

23.1%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Matino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Gravina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Matino than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Matino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gravina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Matino - Gravina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Virtus Matino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gravina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gravina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Virtus Matino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Matino
Italian Serie D - Group H
27.02.22	Altamura - Virtus Matino	2:1 ✺
20.02.22	Virtus Matino - Casarano	1:2 ✺
16.02.22	Città di Fasano - Virtus Matino	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Virtus Matino - Nola	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Molfetta - Virtus Matino	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLTWL
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
13.03.22	Gravina - Lavello	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Gravina - Casertana	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Audace Cerignola - Gravina	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Gravina - Nocerina	0:2 ✺
13.02.22	Nardo - Gravina	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
24.10.21	Gravina - Virtus Matino	0:2

Virtus Matino - Gravina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Virtus Matino - Gravina Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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