Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Virtus Matino		Casarano

	1	X	2
	3	2.85	2.25
	3	3	2.3
	2.95	2.94	2.31
	2.97	3.1	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.5)	2.97 ↑ (2.87)	2.3 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Matino
30.3%

Draw
30.4%

Casarano
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

20.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Matino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Matino's performance.

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Matino than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Matino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casarano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Virtus Matino - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Casarano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Virtus Matino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Matino
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.02.22	Città di Fasano - Virtus Matino	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Virtus Matino - Nola	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Molfetta - Virtus Matino	5:0 ✺
02.02.22	Virtus Matino - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	San Giorgio - Virtus Matino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWLWL
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.02.22	Casarano - Casertana	3:2 ✺
13.02.22	Audace Cerignola - Casarano	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Bisceglie - Casarano	2:2 ✺
30.01.22	Casarano - Gravina	1:1 ✺
22.12.21	Casarano - Nocerina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
17.10.21	Casarano - Virtus Matino	1:0

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