The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Vercelli 31.3%
Draw 29.2%
Lecco 39.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
29.9%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
29.9%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Pro Vercelli - Lecco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Livieri A. (G) 30. Moretti A. 4. Van Koeverden L. 3. Coccolo L. 18. Piran L. 8. Burruano A. 14. Iotti I. (C) 6. el Bakkali Z. 25. Pagliari M. 9. Bertoli M. 11. Sow O.
22. Vettorel T. (G) 45. Rizzo M. 5. Arena M. 24. Sidler S. 11. Urso O. 6. Mallamo A. 21. Metlika A. (C) 99. Manetti G. 10. Capello A. 17. Pellegrino G. 9. Casarotto M.
Substitutes
24. Andreotti R. (G) 28. Carosso A. 17. Ciammaglichella A. 77. Del Favero M. (G) 7. Mallahi M. 69. Patriarca F. 16. Ronchi N. 45. Satriano A. 32. Zacchera G.
78. Anastasini J. 8. Bonaiti S. 13. Bordoni T. 4. Comi P. 1. Dalmasso J. (G) 83. Fama S. 30. Fasan N. 19. Litti M. 20. Mihali L. 15. Murillo A. 75. Nova E. 27. Triacca D.
Coaches
Bonera D.
Valente F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Iotti I. 🟨,
16', Arena M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Pellegrino G. ⚽, Capello A. (A),
41', Moretti A. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Casarotto M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Van Koeverden L. ↓, Carosso A. ↑,
46', el Bakkali Z. ↓, Ciammaglichella A. ↑,
46', Mallamo A. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Manetti G. ⚽,
52', 0 - 4, Urso O. ⚽, Casarotto M. (A),
53', Piran L. 🟨,
60', Casarotto M. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
60', Manetti G. ↓, Litti M. ↑,
75', Pellegrino G. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
78', 0 - 5, Sidler S. ⚽, Metlika A. (A),
79', Moretti A. ↓, Ronchi N. ↑,
80', Sow O. ↓, Mallahi M. ↑,
81', Mihali L. 🟨,
84', Capello A. ↓, Fama S. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Vercelli won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Pro Vercelli has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:17 (averaging 0.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pro Vercelli against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:10 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Lecco
11
3
5
3
14:11
3
14
14
Pro Vercelli
11
3
3
5
10:19
-9
12
Last Results with these Odds
Pro Vercelli - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.01%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.