Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Vis Nova Giussano		Casatese

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.55	1.71
	3.99	3.71	1.65
	3.54	3.6	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.14)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Nova Giussano
23.8%

Draw
24.8%

Casatese
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.2%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

21.1%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Nova Giussano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Nova Giussano than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vis Nova Giussano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Vis Nova Giussano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Casatese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Casatese is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vis Nova Giussano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Nova Giussano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Vis Nova Giussano
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.12.21	Olginatese - Vis Nova Giussano	2:3 ✺
08.12.21	Vis Nova Giussano - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:5 ✺
04.12.21	Vis Nova Giussano - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Folgore Caratese - Vis Nova Giussano	2:1 ✺
21.11.21	Vis Nova Giussano - Arconatese	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLL
- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.12.21	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Villa Valle - Casatese	2:3 ✺
04.12.21	Sona - Casatese	0:2 ✺
28.11.21	Casatese - Ponte San Pietro Isola	4:1 ✺
21.11.21	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
02.05.21	Casatese - Vis Nova Giussano	1:1
17.01.21	Vis Nova Giussano - Casatese	2:4

Vis Nova Giussano - Casatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide