Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Vis Nova Giussano		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.68
	3.5	3.4	1.9
	3.95	3.4	1.72
	4.06	3.52	1.68
	4.44	3.3	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.32)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Nova Giussano
22.4%

Draw
26.3%

Desenzano Calvina
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.5%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

16.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Nova Giussano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Nova Giussano than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vis Nova Giussano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vis Nova Giussano - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Vis Nova Giussano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Calvina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Calvina is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vis Nova Giussano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Nova Giussano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Vis Nova Giussano
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.11.21	Folgore Caratese - Vis Nova Giussano	2:1 ✺
21.11.21	Vis Nova Giussano - Arconatese	1:4 ✺
14.11.21	Caravaggio - Vis Nova Giussano	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Vis Nova Giussano - Real Calepina	2:2 ✺
31.10.21	Villa Valle - Vis Nova Giussano	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWTW
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.11.21	Desenzano Calvina - Brusaporto	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Olginatese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Desenzano Calvina - Breno	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
01.04.21	Vis Nova Giussano - Desenzano Calvina	1:2
13.12.20	Desenzano Calvina - Vis Nova Giussano	2:1

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