Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vitória da Conquista		Frei Paulistano

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.7	6.5
	1.44	4	6
	1.42	4.1	6.2
	1.47	3.8	6
	1.48	4.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)	3.96 ↑ (3.4)	6.09 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória da Conquista
62.3%

Draw
22.8%

Frei Paulistano
14.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

26.5%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

18.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória da Conquista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória da Conquista's performance.

Frei Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória da Conquista than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória da Conquista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frei Paulistano than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

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Preview

Recent matches Vitória da Conquista is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frei Paulistano has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vitória da Conquista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vitória da Conquista have a series of guest games.

In this match Vitória da Conquista is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vitória da Conquista won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória da Conquista
Brazilian Serie D
11.11.20	ABC - Vitória da Conquista	1:3 ✺
08.11.20	Potiguar - Vitória da Conquista	1:1 ✺
26.10.20	Itabaiana - Vitória da Conquista	3:2 ✺
17.10.20	Jacyobá - Vitória da Conquista	2:3 ✺
11.10.20	Central SC - Vitória da Conquista	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTLWT
- AD Frei Paulistano
Brazilian Serie D
07.11.20	Frei Paulistano - Coruripe	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Frei Paulistano - Itabaiana	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Central SC - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
21.10.20	Frei Paulistano - ABC	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	ABC - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.09.20	Frei Paulistano - Vitória da Conquista	0:1

Vitória da Conquista - Frei Paulistano

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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