Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Vitória de Sernache		Atlético da Malveira

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.75
	1.98	2.98	3.65
	2.02	2.89	3.68
	2.09	2.83	3.83	Watch
	2	2.88	3.5
	1.97	2.98	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)	2.96 ↓ (3.21)	3.71 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
45.3%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético da Malveira
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.9%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Vitória de Sernache - Atlético da Malveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Sernache is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
18.04.26	Naval - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Fatima - Vitória de Sernache	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Vitória de Sernache - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTT
- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.04.26	Atlético da Malveira - Louletano	1:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.04.26	Louletano - Atlético da Malveira	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético da Malveira - Sintrense	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Portimonense B - Atlético da Malveira	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Lagoa - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWT

Vitória de Sernache - Atlético da Malveira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide