Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)


	Portimonense B		Atlético da Malveira

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.3	1.72
	4.39	3.3	1.71
	4.45	3.38	1.75
	4.6	2.9	1.75
	4.85	3.26	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (2.66)	3.23 ↑ (3.04)	1.73 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense B
19.9%

Draw
27.9%

Atlético da Malveira
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portimonense B's form might have worsened.

Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético da Malveira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense B than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portimonense B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético da Malveira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Portimonense B - Atlético da Malveira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Portimonense B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Malveira could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portimonense B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
29.03.26	Alverca B - Portimonense B	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Portimonense B	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Portimonense B - Moncarapachense	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Comércio e Indústria - Portimonense B	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Portimonense B - Serpa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWT
- Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.03.26	Lagoa - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Atlético da Malveira - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:1 ✺
08.03.26	Moncarapachense - Atlético da Malveira	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Atlético da Malveira - Comércio e Indústria	4:2 ✺
22.02.26	Serpa - Atlético da Malveira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Atlético da Malveira - Portimonense B	1:0

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