Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 14

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Vitebsk)


	Vitebsk		Dnyapro Mogilev

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.10	3.25
	2.38	2.83	2.94
	2.5	2.65	3.3
	2.39	2.73	3.51
	2.34	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	2.85 ↓ (3.18)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitebsk
39.3%

Draw
32.1%

Dnyapro Mogilev
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Dnyapro Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Vitebsk - Dnyapro Mogilev Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vitebsk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Vitebsk (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitebsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Goylo N. (G) 17. Novykh E. 15. Kuntsevich M. 6. Rodionov K. 22. Egorov S. 20. Krasnov E. 26. Tikhonovskiy S. 30. Bashilov M. (C) 10. Protasov Y. 77. Minaev R. 7. Lisovskiy R.	77. Gushchenko D. (G) 17. Potapenko A. 15. Kasarab M. 8. Rusak S. (C) 23. Dunaev A. 7. Tkachev T. 89. Harutyunyan V. 55. Krasnov N. 11. Martynov T. 88. Kirilenko K. 37. Tsepenkov K.
Substitutes
18. Anikeev V. 8. Anufriev A. 21. Burnos A. 14. Chervyakov Z. 33. Makushinsky Y. 23. Naumov N. 1. Novichkov I. (G) 88. Pesnyak D. 9. Teverov R. 86. Zgomba M.	12. Bylinkin N. 29. Denisyuk A. 1. Ignatiev V. (G) 21. Karpitskiy E. 38. Litskevich M. 27. Piletskiy R. 18. Shemruk A. 66. Tereshchuk N. 26. Yurkevich F. 10. Zabelin K.
Coaches
Gurenko S.	Suvorov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Martynov T. ↓, Karpitskiy E. ↑,
52', Tsepenkov K. ↓, Tereshchuk N. ↑,
56', Krasnov N. 🟨,
70', Krasnov E. ↓, Teverov R. ↑,
70', Minaev R. ↓, Zgomba M. ↑,
70', Lisovskiy R. ↓, Chervyakov Z. ↑,
74', Kirilenko K. ↓, Zabelin K. ↑,
74', Krasnov N. ↓, Denisyuk A. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Rodionov K. ⚽, Protasov Y. (A),
82', Egorov S. ↓, Naumov N. ↑,
82', Novykh E. ↓, Anufriev A. ↑,
90+1', Tereshchuk N. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Vitebsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitebsk won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitebsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

Vitebsk: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	28:21	7	36
15	Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	20:36	-16	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
27.06.26	Dinamo Minsk - Vitebsk	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Vitebsk - Dinamo Brest	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	ML Vitebsk - Vitebsk	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Vitebsk - Baranovichi	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Isloch Minsk - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 TLWLL
- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
28.06.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Neman Grodno	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	BATE Borisov - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Dinamo Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Cup
12.07.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Vitebsk	0:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
08.11.24	Vitebsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1
23.06.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Vitebsk	1:2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
27.08.23	Dnyapro Mogilev - Vitebsk	0:0
22.04.23	Vitebsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
10.09.22	Dnyapro Mogilev - Vitebsk	2:1
02.05.22	Vitebsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1

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