The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gomel 61.9%
Draw 23.7%
Dnyapro Mogilev 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
24.3%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
23.5%
14.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Dnyapro Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Gomel - Dnyapro Mogilev Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (3.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gomel will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Karatai A. (G) 43. Shaykhtdinov D. 16. Zayats I. 90. Kukushkin G. 14. Pashevich P. 13. Lisakovich D. 33. Sotnikov V. 19. Silinskiy D. (C) 23. Danilin K. 11. Simanenka T. 21. Kovalevich D.
77. Gushchenko D. (G) 18. Shemruk A. 23. Dunaev A. 8. Rusak S. (C) 15. Kasarab M. 29. Denisyuk A. 89. Harutyunyan V. 55. Krasnov N. 88. Kirilenko K. 11. Martynov T. 21. Karpitskiy E.
Substitutes
8. Barsukov E. 22. Emeljanov D. 4. Gavrilovich A. 44. Kleshchuk S. (G) 9. Leonovich K. 17. Martinkevich V. 3. Matveychik S. 77. Savitskiy A. 30. Troyakov E.
12. Bylinkin N. 33. Gitselev Z. 1. Ignatiev V. (G) 38. Litskevich M. 27. Piletskiy R. 7. Tkachev T. 9. Torosyan E. 26. Yurkevich F. 10. Zabelin K.
Coaches
Gorovtsov A.
Suvorov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Martynov T. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Simanenka T. ⚽, Sotnikov V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Denisyuk A. ↓, Zabelin K. ↑,
63', Shaykhtdinov D. ↓, Martinkevich V. ↑,
70', Kovalevich D. ↓, Leonovich K. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Sotnikov V. ⚽, Danilin K. (A),
76', Krasnov N. ↓, Yurkevich F. ↑,
80', Karpitskiy E. ↓, Piletskiy R. ↑,
85', Lisakovich D. ↓, Barsukov E. ↑,
85', Pashevich P. ↓, Gavrilovich A. ↑,
85', Simanenka T. ↓, Emeljanov D. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 4.
In recent matches, Gomel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dnyapro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Gomel is a strong favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Gomel won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).