Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 34

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Viterbese		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.87	2.87
	2.39	3	2.88
	2.45	2.8	2.9
	2.41	3	2.96	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.88)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	2.87 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viterbese
37.2%

Draw
31.2%

Audace Cerignola
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

32%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

32.4%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viterbese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viterbese's performance.

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viterbese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	4.3%	6.5%

Viterbese - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Viterbese will win (votes: 41 - 89.1%). Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 3 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viterbese: 80.1% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Viterbese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Audace Cerignola is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Audace Cerignola will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.03.23	Crotone - Viterbese	3:2 ✺
15.03.23	Viterbese - Taranto	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Potenza - Viterbese	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Foggia - Viterbese	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Viterbese - Picerno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLT
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
19.03.23	Audace Cerignola - Foggia	4:2 ✺
15.03.23	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Turris - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Audace Cerignola - Pescara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
27.11.22	Audace Cerignola - Viterbese	2:0

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