The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Turris 21.3%
Draw 28.2%
Audace Cerignola 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
27.7%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
27.9%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turris's form might have worsened.
Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Audace Cerignola's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turris than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Audace Cerignola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Turris - Audace Cerignola Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Marcone R. (G) 13. Ricci L. 15. Ndiaye M. 2. Esempio S. 99. Pugliese S. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 19. Parodi G. 16. Casarini F. 10. Giannone L. 9. Trotta M. 11. Nocerino L.
12. Saracco U. (G) 23. Gonnelli L. 5. Capomaggio G. 6. Visentin S. 7. Coccia G. 8. Tascone M. 14. Paolucci L. 10. Ruggiero Z. 3. Russo L. 9. Salvemini F. 55. Martinelli L.
Substitutes
4. Castellano F. 5. Cocetta N. 30. Desiato F. 45. Ekuban J. 22. Fallani M. (G) 1. Iuliano S. (G) 8. Morrone B. 18. Onofrietti V. 27. Porro M. . Solmonte A.
13. Bianchini G. 80. Di Dio F. 18. Faggioli A. 22. Fares G. (G) 37. Gagliano L. 1. Greco S. (G) 71. Ianzano D. 30. Iurilli N. 26. Lorusso F. 20. Miguel Angel 11. Parigini V. 72. Pio Carrozza G. 25. Romano R. 21. Tentardini A. 19. Velasquez S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Casarini F. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Salvemini F. ⚽,
45+2', Pugliese S. 🟨,
45+2', Gonnelli L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Casarini F. ↓, Morrone B. ↑,
46', Ricci L. ↓, Cocetta N. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Salvemini F. ⚽,
56', Paolucci L. 🟨,
59', Pugliese S. ↓, Ekuban J. ↑,
64', Ruggiero Z. ↓, Bianchini G. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Bianchini G. ⚽,
71', Paolucci L. ↓, Tentardini A. ↑,
74', Nocerino L. ↓, Porro M. ↑,
74', Giannone L. ↓, Castellano F. ↑,
84', Coccia G. 🟨,
85', Salvemini F. ↓, Faggioli A. ↑,
85', Russo L. ↓, Miguel A. ↑,
90+2', Morrone B. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Turris won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Turris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Turris won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Turris won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
Italy
Watch
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Marcone R. (G) 
Ndiaye M. 
Capomaggio G. 
Ekuban J. 
Miguel Angel 
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