Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday


	Viterbese		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.88	3.05	2.28
	2.85	2.9	2.36
	2.79	2.97	2.56
	2.88	2.88	2.4
	2.82	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.61)	3 ↑ (2.89)	2.39 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viterbese
31.8%

Draw
30.2%

Avellino
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

31.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viterbese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Viterbese - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Viterbese will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Avellino will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avellino: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Viterbese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.10.22	Catanzaro - Viterbese	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Monopoli - Viterbese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Viterbese - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.22	Viterbese - Latina	1:5 ✺
24.09.22	Juve Stabia - Viterbese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWLT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
15.10.22	Avellino - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Crotone - Avellino	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.22	Avellino - Potenza	2:0 ✺
24.09.22	Latina - Avellino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
31.01.21	Avellino - Viterbese	3:0
03.10.20	Viterbese - Avellino	0:1
01.12.19	Viterbese - Avellino	0:1

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