Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 18

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Partenio (Avellino)


	Avellino		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.67	3.15	5.1
	1.64	3.1	5
	1.68	3.18	5.46
	1.67	3.1	5.25
	1.68	3.32	5.1	Watch
	1.66	3.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.91)	3.2 ↑ (2.93)	5.1 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
54.1%

Draw
28.2%

Fidelis Andria
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

30.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

29.6%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	0%	10.7%

Avellino - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Users Predictions: Avellino will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.22	Turris - Avellino	1:3 ✺
30.11.22	Avellino - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Avellino - Taranto	4:0 ✺
20.11.22	Picerno - Avellino	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Catanzaro - Avellino	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWLL
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.22	Fidelis Andria - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
30.11.22	Turris - Fidelis Andria	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Fidelis Andria - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Fidelis Andria - Nuova Monterosi	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Crotone - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
19.02.22	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	2:0
17.10.21	Fidelis Andria - Avellino	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
28.04.13	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	4:0
09.12.12	Fidelis Andria - Avellino	0:2

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