The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avellino 63.2%
Draw 23.2%
Potenza 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
27.4%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
25.7%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.
Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
9.1%
0%
Avellino - Potenza Predictions
Users Predictions:
Avellino will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 23. Cagnano A. 21. Armellino M. 20. Palumbo M. 24. Sounas D. 91. Panico G. 9. Patierno C. 32. Lescano F.
22. Alastra F. (G) 35. Novella M. 14. Milesi L. 26. Verrengia B. 66. Burgio R. 8. Castorani M. 5. Felippe L. 27. Erradi B. 21. Schimmenti E. 9. Caturano S. 30. Petrungaro L.
Substitutes
26. Cionek T. 7. D'Ausilio M. 38. Frascatore P. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 12. Pizzella L. (G) 10. Russo R. 2. Todisco G. 19. Tribuzzi A. 35. Zuberek J.
29. Bachini M. 24. Cucchietti T. (G) 4. Ferro L. 33. Galiano P. F. (G) 80. Landi E. 17. Mazzeo L. 18. Mazzocchi P. 6. Riggio C. 23. Rillo F. 94. Rosafio M. 15. Selleri G. 31. Siatounis A. 16. Valisena N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Panico G. 🟨,
19', Enrici P. 🟨,
38', Erradi B. 🟨,
41', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Panico G. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
61', Lescano F. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
65', Schimmenti E. ↓, Rosafio M. ↑,
65', Erradi B. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
71', Caturano S. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
71', Castorani M. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Russo R. ⚽,
80', Armellino M. ↓, Mutanda N. ↑,
81', Petrungaro L. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
88', Sounas D. ↓, Todisco G. ↑,
88', Patierno C. ↓, Zuberek J. ↑,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 3.
Avellino in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Potenza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Potenza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Potenza have a series of home games.
In this match Avellino is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Avellino: Aya R.
(Knee Injury)
Campanile A.
(Calf Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Inactive)
Manzi C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Potenza: D'Auria G.
(Injury)
Novella M.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Avellino to win the game is with odds 1.45.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Avellino won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:9 (average 2:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2:0.8).