Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 24

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Domenico Francioni (Latina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Latina		Avellino

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.85
	3.8	2.8	1.86
	4.45	3.16	1.92
	4.41	3.2	1.9	Watch
	4	2.9	1.91
	4.13	3.2	1.84	Watch
	3.8	2.8	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.83)	3.01 ↓ (3.11)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
22.1%

Draw
29.9%

Avellino
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

28.7%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

30%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Latina - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Latina will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Zacchi G. (G) 2. Ercolano E. 4. Crescenzi L. 3. Vona E. 13. Marenco F. 25. Petermann D. 23. Gatto E. 93. Improta R. 8. Ndoj E. 10. Riccardi A. 45. Ekuban J.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 24. Sounas D. 6. Palmiero L. 4. De Cristofaro A. 91. Panico G. 9. Patierno C. 10. Russo R.
Substitutes
33. Basti M. (G) 20. Berman T. 77. Bocic M. 99. Ciciretti A. 6. Ciko S. 53. Cipolla D. 21. Cittadino A. 12. Civello V. (G) 57. Marchi D. 9. Mastroianni F. 39. Motolese M. 27. Saccani M. 92. Scravaglieri M. 55. Segat M.	. Armellino M. 57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 35. Gori G. 22. Guarnieri M. (G) 79. Manzi C. 77. Marson L. (G) 21. Palumbo M. 11. Redan D. 8. Rocca M. 2. Todisco G. 19. Tribuzzi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Patierno C. ⚽,
25', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
36', Improta R. 🟨,
36', Patierno C. 🟨,
40', Petermann D. 🟨,
45+2', Enrici P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Patierno C. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Gori G. ⚽,
56', Riccardi A. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
60', Palmiero L. 🟨,
65', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
65', Panico G. ↓, Redan D. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Sounas D. ⚽,
80', Marenco F. ↓, Cipolla D. ↑,
80', Gatto E. ↓, Cittadino A. ↑,
83', Russo R. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
83', Sounas D. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
84', Petermann D. ↓, Segat M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Latina won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Avellino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Avellino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Latina won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:19 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Latina won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Latina Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.01.25	Foggia - Latina	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Latina - Turris	4:1 ✺
05.01.25	Latina - Taranto	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Casertana - Latina	0:2 ✺
16.12.24	Latina - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
18.01.25	Avellino - Cavese	2:1 ✺
13.01.25	Audace Cerignola - Avellino	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Giugliano - Avellino	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Avellino - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.12.24	Giana Erminio - Avellino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.09.24	Avellino - Latina	0:1
06.01.24	Latina - Avellino	0:5
02.09.23	Avellino - Latina	0:2
29.01.23	Avellino - Latina	0:0
24.09.22	Latina - Avellino	1:0
22.02.22	Latina - Avellino	0:0
12.09.21	Avellino - Latina	1:1

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