Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+ app


	Crotone		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.9
	2.35	3.1	3
	2.36	3.2	2.95
	2.39	3.21	2.98	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.88
	2.32	3.08	2.92	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.48)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	2.95 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
39.3%

Draw
29.5%

Avellino
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avellino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avellino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Crotone - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. D'Alterio F. (G) 18. Guerini A. 5. Cargnelutti R. 6. Di Pasquale D. 3. Giron M. 16. Gallo A. 38. Schiro T. 41. Silva J. 93. Tumminello M. 10. Vitale M. 9. Gomez G.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 26. Cionek T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 7. D'Ausilio M. 35. Gori G. 9. Patierno C.
Substitutes
31. Akpa Akpro J. 12. Antonio P. M. (G) 30. Aprea M. 13. Armini N. 19. Cantisani R. 99. Chiarella L. 73. Cucinotta D. (G) 23. Groppelli F. 77. Kostadinov D. 7. Oviszach E. 33. Rispoli A. 20. Rojas L. 28. Spina M. 8. Stronati R.	51. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 50. De Michele P. 22. Guarnieri M. (G) 94. Liotti D. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 11. Redan D. 10. Russo R. 52. Solaro D. 19. Tribuzzi A. 91. Vano M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Giron M. ↓, Groppelli F. ↑,
45', Gori G. 🟨,
45+2', Di Pasquale D. ↓, Armini N. ↑,
45+7', 0 - 1, Sounas D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, Sounas D. ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, Patierno C. ⚽,
67', Gori G. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
67', Tumminello M. ↓, Rojas L. ↑,
67', Vitale M. ↓, Stronati R. ↑,
67', Silva J. ↓, Akpa Akpro J. ↑,
81', Patierno C. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
81', Frascatore P. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
86', Rojas L. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 4, Russo R. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 1.

Crotone is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Avellino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Crotone won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.24	Potenza - Crotone	3:3 ✺
25.09.24	Crotone - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Picerno - Crotone	5:2 ✺
14.09.24	Crotone - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Crotone - Trapani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.24	Avellino - Foggia	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Turris - Avellino	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Avellino - Latina	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Cavese - Avellino	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Avellino - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.24	Avellino - Crotone	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.24	Avellino - Crotone	1:0
22.12.23	Crotone - Avellino	0:1
06.02.23	Avellino - Crotone	3:1
08.10.22	Crotone - Avellino	2:0
Italian Serie B
26.03.16	Avellino - Crotone	0:0
09.11.15	Crotone - Avellino	3:1

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