Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 27

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Viterbese		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.35	Watch
	7	3.4	1.45
	10.18	4.13	1.35
	9.5	3.9	1.33
	9.3	4.1	1.36	Watch
	8.2	4.2	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.61 ↑ (7.05)	3.99 ↑ (3.1)	1.36 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viterbese
10.6%

Draw
22.8%

Catanzaro
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

29.2%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

27.9%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viterbese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catanzaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catanzaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Viterbese - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: Catanzaro will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 1.

Viterbese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catanzaro is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Catanzaro is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Viterbese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
05.02.23	Viterbese - Monopoli	2:0 ✺
01.02.23	Latina - Viterbese	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Viterbese - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Pescara - Viterbese	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Viterbese - ACR Messina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
05.02.23	Catanzaro - Fidelis Andria	4:0 ✺
01.02.23	Catanzaro - Turris	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	ACR Messina - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Catanzaro - Audace Cerignola	4:0 ✺
15.01.23	Latina - Catanzaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.10.22	Catanzaro - Viterbese	3:2
25.04.21	Viterbese - Catanzaro	0:2
27.01.21	Catanzaro - Viterbese	0:0
02.02.20	Catanzaro - Viterbese	4:0
22.09.19	Viterbese - Catanzaro	2:1
01.05.19	Catanzaro - Viterbese	2:0
14.04.19	Viterbese - Catanzaro	2:2

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