Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 24

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)


	ACR Messina		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.1	1.39
	8	4.25	1.33
	6.8	3.8	1.39
	9.05	4.07	1.36
	8	3.8	1.38
	8.3	4.3	1.36	Watch
	7	4.1	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.7 ↑ (4.97)	4.06 ↑ (3.22)	1.37 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
11.8%

Draw
22.3%

Catanzaro
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

27.7%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

27.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ACR Messina's form might have worsened.

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catanzaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ACR Messina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catanzaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

ACR Messina - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ACR Messina will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2.

Recent matches ACR Messina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Catanzaro in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Catanzaro is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
22.01.23	ACR Messina - Avellino	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Viterbese - ACR Messina	1:3 ✺
07.01.23	ACR Messina - Virtus Francavilla	2:1 ✺
23.12.22	Crotone - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	ACR Messina - Taranto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
22.01.23	Catanzaro - Audace Cerignola	4:0 ✺
15.01.23	Latina - Catanzaro	0:1 ✺
07.01.23	Catanzaro - Taranto	1:0 ✺
23.12.22	Picerno - Catanzaro	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Catanzaro - Potenza	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.22	Catanzaro - ACR Messina	3:0
16.03.22	ACR Messina - Catanzaro	2:3
07.11.21	Catanzaro - ACR Messina	2:0
11.02.17	ACR Messina - Catanzaro	2:1
25.09.16	Catanzaro - ACR Messina	0:1
03.04.16	ACR Messina - Catanzaro	1:1
21.11.15	Catanzaro - ACR Messina	1:0

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