Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 11

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Viterbese		Foggia

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	3.05	2.9	2.28
	3	3	2.16
	3.34	3.03	2.17
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.26	3.13	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.55)	3.07 ↑ (2.8)	2.18 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viterbese
29.1%

Draw
29.5%

Foggia
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

32.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

34.1%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viterbese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Viterbese's form might have worsened.

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Foggia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viterbese than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Foggia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Viterbese - Foggia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Foggia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Viterbese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Viterbese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viterbese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
22.10.22	Picerno - Viterbese	0:0 ✺
18.10.22	Viterbese - Avellino	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Catanzaro - Viterbese	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Monopoli - Viterbese	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Viterbese - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWLWW
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
22.10.22	Foggia - Fidelis Andria	3:1 ✺
18.10.22	Juve Stabia - Foggia	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Foggia - Crotone	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Gelbison Cilento - Foggia	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Foggia - Picerno	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.03.21	Foggia - Viterbese	1:1
29.11.20	Viterbese - Foggia	0:1

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