The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Foggia 43.6%
Draw 29.6%
Picerno 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
28.5%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
28.3%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foggia's performance.
Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Picerno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foggia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Picerno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Foggia - Picerno Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Foggia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Picerno will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Foggia: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perucchini F. (G) 3. Dimarco C. 98. Rizzo F. 23. Brosco R. 13. Giron M. 32. Romeo F. 16. Petermann D. (C) 5. Castorri G. 7. Cangiano G. 81. Tommasini C. 18. Oliva M.
16. Marcone R. (G) 20. Gemignani A. 28. Bassoli A. 29. Del Fabro D. 63. Pistolesi F. 44. Franco D. 27. Baldassin L. 99. Pugliese S. 77. Cardoni K. 17. Guadagni G. 90. Abreu L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Brosco R. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Guadagni G. ⚽,
30', Del Fabro D. 🟨,
33', Franco D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Oliva M. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
46', Castorri G. ↓, Garofalo V. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Pugliese S. ⚽,
65', Tommasini C. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
69', Rizzo F. ↓, Staver C. ↑,
72', Giron M. 🟨,
75', Abreu L. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
75', Pistolesi F. ↓, Rillo F. ↑,
81', Franco D. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
81', Cardoni K. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
88', Guadagni G. ↓, Salvo G. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 2.
Recent form of Foggia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Picerno has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Foggia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Picerno
8
4
0
4
16:15
1
12
10
Foggia
8
3
2
3
8:7
1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Foggia - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.61%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Picerno - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.86%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Perucchini F. (G) 
Giron M. 
Abreu L. 
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