Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	Vitoria		Derio

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.75
	1.47	4	6
	1.51	3.75	5.69
	1.53	3.58	5.52
	1.49	3.78	6.21
	1.47	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)	5.86 ↓ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria
60.7%

Draw
23.8%

Derio
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

24.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

22.9%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+10', 1 - 0, Arana M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 🟥,
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Vitoria in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Derio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vitoria is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vitoria to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vitoria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
27.03.24	Anaitasuna - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Vitoria - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Basconia - Vitoria	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Vitoria - Añorga	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Alavés C - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW
- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
27.03.24	Derio - Pasaia	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Padura - Derio	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Derio - Touring KE	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	San Ignacio - Derio	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Derio - Beasain	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.11.23	Derio - Vitoria	0:1

Vitoria - Derio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide