Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Padura		Derio

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.45
	2.65	3	2.55
	2.72	2.8	2.54
	2.73	2.98	2.59	Watch
	2.63	3.04	2.5
	2.65	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.31)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	2.53 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padura
34%

Draw
30.4%

Derio
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Padura's form might have worsened.

Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padura than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Padura - Derio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Barron J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Padura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.12.24	Padura - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Santurtzi - Padura	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Beasain - Padura	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Padura - Touring KE	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Pasaia - Padura	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWLTL
- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.12.24	Santurtzi - Derio	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Derio - Beasain	1:4 ✺
30.11.24	Pasaia - Derio	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Derio - San Ignacio	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Basconia - Derio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.03.24	Padura - Derio	1:1
04.11.23	Derio - Padura	1:1

Padura - Derio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide