Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vitoria Guimarães		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.14	7	13
	1.16	6.75	13	Watch
	1.15	6.5	17
	1.19	7.2	15.93
	1.18	6.96	15.8
	1.12	6.5	17
	1.16	7.2	17.25	Watch
	1.16	6.6	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.33)	6.84 ↑ (4.53)	15.75 ↑ (8.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
80.5%

Draw
13.6%

Vilaverdense
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

20.2%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

18.8%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães's performance.

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Vitoria Guimarães - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Vilaverdense will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Charles (G) 44. Fernandes J. 24. Borevkovic T. 4. Ribeiro T. 2. Miguel Maga 8. Handel T. (C) 80. Silva D. 19. Mangas R. 11. Jota Silva 7. Andre Silva 17. Mendes J.	93. Santos R. (G) 27. Freitas C. 26. Batista J. 12. Maviram E. 33. Gustavo 5. Sako M. 8. Joao Caiado 20. Semedo Y. 10. Soares A. 70. Hanne B. 21. Harramiz S.
Substitutes
22. Butzke A. 52. Costa A. 72. Freitas A. 20. Luz N. 77. Santos N. 10. Tiago Silva 29. Tounkara M. 14. Varela B. (G) 28. Ze Carlos	11. Bruno Silva 82. Cajo (G) 23. Ericson 17. Fati N. 4. Kawale R. 6. Konate B. 19. Lopes A. 88. Neves L. 7. Teixeira G.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guimarães could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guimarães is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
11.11.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Chaves	5:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Moncarapachense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.10.23	Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
18.11.23	Mafra - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Vilaverdense - Tondela	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Belenenses - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
30.10.23	Vilaverdense - Porto B	0:5 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Vilaverdense - Farense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
21.10.12	Vitoria Guimarães - Vilaverdense	6:1

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