Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Mafra		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5
	1.7	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.84	4.87
	1.75	3.84	4.87
	1.65	3.5	4.2
	1.71	3.65	4.55	Watch
	1.71	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	4.6 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
54.1%

Draw
25.7%

Vilaverdense
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.3%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Mafra - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: Mafra will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andre Paulo (G) 19. Diao O. 5. Pedro Barcelos 15. Guilherme (C) 66. Bak Jensen V. 6. Bravo P. 27. Nibe A. 3. Chriso 8. Gabriel L. 7. Dju M. 9. Almeida D.	93. Santos R. (G) 94. Viegas R. 33. Gustavo 26. Batista J. 19. Lopes A. 5. Sako M. 23. Ericson 8. Joao Caiado 20. Semedo Y. 10. Soares A. (C) 21. Harramiz S.
Substitutes
60. Barros G. 17. de Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes A. F. 22. Gabriel Passos 23. Maddi 77. Matos R. 90. Mendes R. 11. Moreno J. 33. Musbaudeen J. 13. Varela Carvalho T. (G)	9. Adjei S. 11. Bruno Silva 27. Freitas C. 1. Goncalves I. (G) 70. Hanne B. 4. Kawale R. 6. Konate B. 88. Neves L. 7. Teixeira G.
Coaches
Silas	Machado S.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Mafra is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
12.11.23	Torreense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Mafra - Leixões	0:1 ✺
27.10.23	Penafiel - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Mafra - Feirense	3:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.23	Mafra - Leiria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLWW
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
12.11.23	Vilaverdense - Tondela	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Belenenses - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
30.10.23	Vilaverdense - Porto B	0:5 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Vilaverdense - Farense	3:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.10.23	Paços de Ferreira - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.05.18	Vilaverdense - Mafra	2:4

Mafra - Vilaverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide