Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)


	Ponte Preta		Comercial SP

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	7
	1.42	4.05	6.2
	1.43	4.15	7.03
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.44	4.25	6.85	Watch
	1.41	4.1	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)	4.07 ↑ (3.4)	6.73 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
64%

Draw
22.4%

Comercial SP
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.6%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponte Preta's performance.

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte Preta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Ponte Preta - Comercial SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Comercial SP will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponte Preta: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ponte Preta have a series of guest games.

In this match Ponte Preta is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.03.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
04.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Ponte Preta	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLTW
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Rio Claro - Comercial SP	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
01.03.23	Piracicaba - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Comercial SP - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1
04.03.23	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.02.14	Comercial SP - Ponte Preta	0:1

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